<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Rangel, L. N.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Konzen</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Boesch, K.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">An adaLASSO variation for seasonal time series</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Forecasting</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ziegelmann, Flavio A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">et al</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Changes in Production Frontiers</style></title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Luis E. P. Souza</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ziegelmann, Flavio A.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Dynamic MIDAS Models for Quarterly GDP Growth Forecasting: a Study in Brazil</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Computational Economics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">L. Abreu</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. Tofoli</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Forecasting Tail Risk for Energy Markets via Dynamic GAS Vine Copulas</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The North American Journal of Economics and Finance</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Jeudi Silva</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Wallace Souza</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ziegelmann, Flavio A.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Investigation of Causal Effects of Conditional Cash Transfers in Brazil using Random Forests</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Empirical Economics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ziegelmann, Flavio A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">et al</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Multi-Level Feature-based FORecast Model Selection</style></title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Leonardo Damiani</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ziegelmann, Flavio A.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Predicting Football Matches with PARX-Copula Models: an Application to the Premier League</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></year></dates></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gandini, A.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Combining LASSO-Type Methods with a Smooth Transition Random Forest</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Annals of Data Science</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2025</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">12</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">899-928</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Boesch, K.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Machine Learning Methods and Time Series: a Through Comparison Study via Simulation and U.S. Inflation Forecasting</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Computational Economics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2025</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">66</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1-34</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Kuchenbecker, A. S.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Torrent, H. S.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Measuring and explaining efficiency of pre-vaccine country responses to COVID-19 pandemic: a conditional robust nonparametric approach</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Empirical Economics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2025</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">68</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">107-137</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>5</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G. Alovisi</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Dynamic Factor Copulas for Minimum-CVaR Portfolio Optimization</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Time Series and Wavelets Analysis: Festschrift in Honor of Pedro A. Morettin</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2024</style></year></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-66398-7_9</style></url></web-urls></urls><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Springer Nature Switzerland</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">p.175--195</style></pub-location><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;Copula models have become popular for minimum conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) portfolio optimization, especially due to their ability to deal with nonlinear dependencies. Nevertheless, as the number of assets in a portfolio increases, the estimation of copulas, particularly dynamic ones, becomes computationally burdensome. In this work, our novel contribution is to adapt and implement a dynamic factor copula model for the asset returns dependencies and find an optimal, potentially high dimensional, portfolio via minimizing its CVaR. The resulting model is capable of addressing the ``curse of dimensionality'' for the dependencies, while maintaining enough complexity and flexibility. The factor copula dynamics are described by a generalized autoregressive scores (GAS) model for the factor loadings. Using data consisting of B3 Brazilian stocks from January 2013 to December 2020, we find the optimal portfolio and evaluate its out of sample economic performance. Empirical results suggest that our min-CVaR-factor-copula strategy has either equal or better risk/return metrics when compared to a traditional Gaussian copula, while being considerably superior than both Markowitz mean-variance and equal weights portfolios as well as the IBRX50 index.&lt;/p&gt;
</style></abstract></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Souza, W. P. S. F.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Figueiredo, E. A.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) O Impacto do Comércio Internacional sobre as Condições de Saúde: uma Abordagem Estrutural</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Revista Brasileira de Economia</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2023</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">77</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">e122023</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Silva, F. B. S.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">J. F. Caldeira</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A Pairs Trading Strategy based on Mixed Copulas</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2023</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">87</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">16-34</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ricco, R.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Realized Semicovariances: Empirical Applications to Volatility Forecasting and Portfolio Optimization</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Brazilian Review of Finance</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2023</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">21</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">99-122</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">33</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Chen, Y.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Torrent, H. S.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Robust Nonparametric Frontier Estimation in Two Steps</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Econometric Reviews</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2023</style></year></dates><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Submitted</style></publisher><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">42</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">612-634</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">7</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Gavronski, P.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Measuring systemic risk via GAS models and extreme value theory: Revisiting the 2007 financial crisis</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Finance Research Letters</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2021</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">38</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">101498</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Souza, W</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Uma nota sobre o prêmio salarial em empresas exportadoras brasileiras</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Revista Brasileira de Economia</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">74</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">221-232</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Tófoli, P.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Silva Filho, O.C.</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Pereira, P.L.V.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Dynamic D-Vine Copula Model with Applications to Value-at-Risk (VaR)</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Time Series Econometrics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2019</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">11</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">20170016</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Horta</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mixing conditions of conjugate processes</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Chilean Journal of Statistics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2019</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">10</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">123-129</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">V. A. Reisen</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A. M. Sgrancio</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">C. Levy-Leduc</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. Bondon</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Z. Monte</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">H. Cotta</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Robust factor modelling for high-dimensional time series: An application to air pollution data</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Applied Mathematics and Computation</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2019</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">346</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">842-852</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Souza, W</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) As Condições de Saúde Afetam os Rendimentos do Trabalho? Evidências para o Mercado de Trabalho no Brasil</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Economia Aplicada</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2018</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">22</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">113-150</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Horta</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Conjugate processes: Theory and application to risk forecasting</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Stochastic Processes and their Applications</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2018</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">128</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">727-755</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Horta</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Dynamics of financial returns densities: A functional approach applied to the Bovespa intraday index</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">International Journal of Forecasting</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2018</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">34</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">75-88</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">V. A. Reisen</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Z. Monte</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">G. C. Franco</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A. M. Sgrancio</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. F. Molinares</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. Bondon</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Robust estimation of fractional seasonal processes: Modeling and forecasting daily average SO 2 concentrations</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mathematics and Computers in Simulation</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2018</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">146</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">27-43</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. Tofoli</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">O. C. Silva Filho</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A Comparison Study of Copula Models for European Financial Index Returns</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">International Journal of Economics and Finance</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2017</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">9</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">155-178</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Horta</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Identifying the spectral representation of Hilbertian time series</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Statistics &amp; Probability Letters</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2016</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">118</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">45-49</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Konzen</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">LASSO-Type Penalties for Covariate Selection and Forecasting in Time Series</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Forecasting</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2016</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">35</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">592-612</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M. Bartels</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Market risk forecasting for high dimensional portfolios via factor copulas with GAS dynamics</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Insurance Mathematics &amp; Economics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2016</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">70</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">66-79</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">B.K. Borges</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">J. F. Caldeira</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Selection of Minimum Variance Portfolio Using Intraday Data: An Empirical Comparison Among Different Realized Measures for BM&amp;FBovespa Data</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Brazilian Review of Econometrics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2015</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">35</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">23-46</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. T. Zuanazzi</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Previsões para o crescimento do PIB trimestral brasileiro com séries financeiras e econômicas mensais: uma aplicação de MIDAS</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Economia Aplicada</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2014</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">18</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">295-318</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">O. C. Silva Filho</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M. Dueker</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Assessing Dependence Between Financial Market Indexes Using Conditional Time-Varying Copulas: Applications to Value at Risk</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Quantitative Finance</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2014</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">14</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2155-2170</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">O. C. Silva Filho</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Assessing some stylized facts about financial market indexes: a Markov copula approach</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Economic Studies (Bradford)</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2014</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">41</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">253-271</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">D. G. Santos</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Volatility Forecasting via MIDAS, HAR and their Combination: An Empirical Comparative Study for IBOVESPA</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Forecasting</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2014</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">33</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">284-299</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">C. Martins Filho</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">H. Torrent</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Local exponential frontier estimation</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Brazilian Review of Econometrics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">33</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">171-216</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">H. Saulo</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">V. Leiva</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">C. Marchant</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A nonparametric method for estimating asymmetric densities based on skewed Birnbaum-Saunders distributions applied to environmental data</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">27</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1479-1491</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">H. H. Hoeltgebaum</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">T. P. Filomena</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">D. Borenstein</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M. Lejeune</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Desempenho do modelo estocástico de média-variância para o mercado brasileiro de ações</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Produto &amp; Produção</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">13</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">63-73</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">D. G. Santos</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Estimação e Previsão de Volatilidade em Períodos de Crise: Um Estudo Comparando Modelos GARCH e Modelos Aditivos Semi-Paramétricos</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Revista Brasileira de Finanças</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">10</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">49-70</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">O. C. Silva Filho</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">M. Dueker</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Modeling dependence dynamics through copulas with regime switching</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Insurance Mathematics &amp; Economics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2012</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">50</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">346-356</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Semiparametric estimation of volatility: some models and complexity choice in the adaptive functional-coefficient class</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2011</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">81</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">707-728</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Dynamics of the Brazilian Income</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Economics Bulletin</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2010</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">30</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1249-1260</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Estimating income mobility using census data</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Physica A</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2010</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">389</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">4897-4903</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Estimation of Opportunity Inequality in Brazil using Nonparametric Local Logistic Regression</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Development Studies</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2010</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">46</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1593-1606</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">N. Bathia</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Q. Yao</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Identifying the Finite Dimensionality of Curve Time Series</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Annals of Statistics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2010</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">38</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">3352-3386</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Algumas Simulações de Efeitos de Mobilidade de Renda sobre o Nível de Bem-Estar</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Revista Brasileira de Economia</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">63</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">317-328</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">E. Figueiredo</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Mudança na Distribuição de Renda Brasileira: Significância Estatística e Bem-Estar Econômico</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Revista de Ecoomia Aplicada</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2009</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">257-277</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">R. M. Kirchner</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">R. Souza</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Identificação de Estruturas Não_lineares de Séries Temporais através de Regressão Linear Local e Modelos Aditivos</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Pesquisa Operacional</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2008</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">28</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">45-57</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">A Local Linear Least-Absolute-Deviations Estimator of Volatility</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Communications in Statistics Simulation and Computation</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2008</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">37</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1543-1564</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">R. M. Kirchner</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">R. Souza</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Identification of the structure of linear and non-linear time series models, using nonparametric estimation via local kernel functions</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Advances in Soft Computing</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2004</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">589-596</style></pages></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ziegelmann, Flavio A.</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">The Local Exponential Estimator</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Econometric Theory</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2002</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">18</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">985-992</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">4</style></issue></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="6.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">P. V. Pereira</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">F. A. Ziegelmann</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">(Portuguese) Modelos de Volatilidade Estocástica com Deformação Temporal: Um Estudo Empírico para o Índice BOVESPA</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1997</style></year></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">27</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">323-343</style></pages><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2</style></issue></record></records></xml>